World Meteorological Organization: The possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. The latest forecast released by the World Meteorological Organization on the 11th shows that the possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. It is expected that the intensity of La Nina will be weak and the duration will be short. According to the introduction of the World Meteorological Organization, the current El Niñ o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index is in a neutral state, which is neither El Niñ o nor La Nina. According to the forecast, from December 2024 to February 2025, the possibility of changing from the current neutral state to La Nina phenomenon is 55%. The forecast also shows that from February to April 2025, the possibility of returning to neutral state is 55%. (Xinhua News Agency)Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.
Central Economic Work Conference: Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. Give full play to the dual functions of the total amount and structure of monetary policy tools, reduce the RRR and interest rates in a timely manner, maintain sufficient liquidity, and match the scale of social financing and the growth of money supply with the expected goals of economic growth and overall price level. Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. Explore and expand the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank, innovate financial instruments, and maintain the stability of the financial market.Russia said it would not make concessions on the Ukrainian issue and hoped to make contact with the US. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Zacharova said at a regular press conference on the 11th local time that Russia would not make concessions on the Ukrainian issue in response to the negotiation proposal put forward by US President-elect Trump on the 8th, and hoped to make contact with the US, but so far it has not received any "serious suggestions" from the team of US President-elect Trump. Zacharova also said that the recent statement of Ukrainian President Zelensky showed that "achieving peace is not a priority for Ukraine". Zelensky reiterated a few days ago that Uzbekistan will not sign any kind of peace agreement without security guarantee.Central Economic Work Conference: Implementing the Medical and Health Foundation Project and Formulating the Policy of Promoting Birth, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting proposed to implement employment support plans for key areas, key industries, urban and rural grassroots and small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the employment of key groups. Strengthen the protection of workers' rights and interests in flexible employment and new employment forms. We will implement policies to help industries and employment, ensure that large-scale return to poverty does not occur, and ensure the basic livelihood of people in need. Promote the high-quality and balanced development of compulsory education and solidly promote the expansion of high-quality undergraduate courses. Implement the medical and health foundation project and formulate policies to promote fertility. Develop community-supported home-based care for the aged and expand inclusive care for the aged. Adhere to and develop the "Fengqiao experience" in the new era and strengthen the public security system. (Xinhua News Agency)
Ukraine National Natural Gas Transportation Company: On December 13th, the designated amount of Russian natural gas in Suza Transfer Station was 42.29 million cubic meters, while on December 12th, it was 42.38 million cubic meters.Market news: the agency said that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States jumped to the highest level in two months, but it was still at a low level.German Finance Minister: We need to work together on initiatives to strengthen the European economy.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14